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Research about monetary policy

Hear from QTC’s economists about topical issues important to the global and Australian economies, and financial markets. QTC’s economists write a broad range of articles on the macroeconomy, monetary policy and markets, drawing insights from key resources and economic models. We share research in these areas for our public-sector clients and the investor community.

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Research

RBA cash rate scenarios following its hawkish tilt 

Trent Saunders, QTC Principal Economist
Published: 6 June 2023
5 min read

  

The Australian economy is facing difficult conditions and the outlook remains uncertain. In QTC’s latest Economic Research article, Principal Economist Trent Saunders looks at how economic conditions and the RBA’s cash rate could evolve over the next five years. He also shows how various risks considered by the RBA Board could alter the outlook for interest rates.

Passing the peak: Will the recent slowdown in inflation be sustained?

Trent Saunders, QTC Principal Economist
Published: 8 May 2023
5 min read

  

Inflation appears to have passed its peak, but how quickly will it fall from here? In QTC’s latest Economic Research article, Principal Economist, Trent Saunders looks at the different drivers of inflation to shed light on how persistent it could be and what this means for the outlook for interest rates.

Financial Conditions in Australia

Michael Anthonisz, QTC Chief Economist
Published: 30 March 2023
5 min read

Rate hikes from the RBA are raising the cost of capital in the Australian economy, but there are a broader range of factors which determine the degree to which developments in the financial sector influence the real economy beyond just changes in monetary policy. QTC’s Chief Economist Michael Anthonisz breaks these down in this note on financial conditions in Australia.

What effect will higher interest rates have on the Australian economy?

Trent Saunders, QTC Principal Economist
Published: 1 August 2022
9 min read

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to increase the cash rate sharply over the coming year in response to the high outlook for inflation. In this article, QTC’s Principal Economist Trent Saunders looks at how cash rate changes have affected different parts of the economy in the past, as well as whether these responses might be different in the current cycle.

Re-assessing Australia’s economic recovery

Trent Saunders, QTC Principal Economist
Published: 29 April 2021
6 min read

        

Australia’s economic recovery has been swift, with leading indicators suggesting that this rapid rate of improvement could continue in the coming months. In this article, QTC’s Principal Economist Trent Saunders uses three scenarios to project what this unexpected strength could mean for the economic outlook and the RBA’s cash rate decisions through to 2030.